Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • Old Trafford
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.50) 0.31 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.7% 41.8% 13.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
33.2%
1 - 0
26.4%
2 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Sunderland
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester United 0 33.2% 10.2% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.4% 8.1% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.5% 3.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricManchester UnitedSunderland
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack47%27%
Defense33%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Manchester United Sunderland
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins67%0%33%67%33%50%
Draws0%33%17%33%33%33%
Loses33%67%50%0%33%17%

Form: Manchester United: LDWLWL • Sunderland: WLWDDW

League goals

Metric Manchester United Sunderland
HATHAT
GF total527617
GF avg1.70.71.22.00.31.2
GA total4711224
GA avg1.32.31.80.70.70.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineManchester UnitedSunderland
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%100%67%50%
1.533%50%33%17%
2.517%33%17%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricManchester UnitedSunderland
HATHAT
Clean sheets000123
Failed to score112022

Penalties

MetricManchester UnitedSunderland
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricManchester UnitedSunderland
Wins11
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-23-00-1
Biggest losses0-13-02-0
Goals For3131
Goals Against2312

Model comparison

MetricManchester UnitedSunderland
Form47%53%
Att64%36%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h80%20%
Goals80%20%
Total61.0%39.0%

Advice: Double chance : Manchester United or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ Betano
Draw4.70 @ 1xBet
Away6.48 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.29 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No2.08 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Manchester United = 0.79 (league 1.50), Sunderland = 0.31 (league 1.27)

Sunderland
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester United 0 33.2% 10.2% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.4% 8.1% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.5% 3.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.7% · Draw 41.8% · Away win 13.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1