Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 • Selhurst Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.50) 0.94 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.4% 27.9% 26.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.7%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Bournemouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crystal Palace 0 10.3% 9.7% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.7% 12.9% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.1% 8.6% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.0% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCrystal PalaceBournemouth
Played55
Form67%73%
Attack73%73%
Defense64%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Crystal Palace Bournemouth
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%50%43%75%33%57%
Draws67%25%43%25%33%29%
Loses0%25%14%0%33%14%

Form: Crystal Palace: DDWDWWL • Bournemouth: LWWWDDW

League goals

Metric Crystal Palace Bournemouth
HATHAT
GF total3696511
GF avg1.01.51.31.51.71.6
GA total235268
GA avg0.70.80.70.52.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCrystal PalaceBournemouth
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%57%86%57%
1.543%14%57%29%
2.514%0%14%14%
3.50%0%0%14%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCrystal PalaceBournemouth
HATHAT
Clean sheets123213
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricCrystal PalaceBournemouth
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricCrystal PalaceBournemouth
Wins23
Draws22
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-33-10-1
Biggest losses2-14-2
Goals For2332
Goals Against1214

Model comparison

MetricCrystal PalaceBournemouth
Form48%52%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h38%62%
Goals40%60%
Total47.3%52.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Bournemouth

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ William Hill
Draw3.53 @ 1xBet
Away3.76 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ Pinnacle
No2.29 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.89 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.07 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Crystal Palace = 1.33 (league 1.50), Bournemouth = 0.94 (league 1.26)

Bournemouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crystal Palace 0 10.3% 9.7% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.7% 12.9% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.1% 8.6% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.0% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.4% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 26.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1