Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 01:07 • Estadio AKRON
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.24 (league 1.54) 5.24 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.9% 9.7% 29.4%
best score tips
3 - 5
3.9%
3 - 4
3.7%
2 - 5
3.6%
Score & goals probability table
Cruz Azul
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guadalajara Chivas 0 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7%
1 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 1.6% 2.1% 2.2%
2 0.1% 0.6% 1.5% 2.6% 3.4% 3.6%
3 0.1% 0.6% 1.6% 2.8% 3.7% 3.9%
4 0.1% 0.5% 1.3% 2.3% 3.0% 3.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.8% 1.5% 1.9% 2.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGuadalajara ChivasCruz Azul
Played55
Form27%87%
Attack47%76%
Defense41%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.613 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

83%
FT probability

3.5+

59%
FT probability

BTTS

88%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Guadalajara Chivas Cruz Azul
HATHAT
Played235426
Wins50%0%20%75%50%67%
Draws0%33%20%25%50%33%
Loses50%67%60%0%0%0%

Form: Guadalajara Chivas: LWLLD • Cruz Azul: DDWWWW

League goals

Metric Guadalajara Chivas Cruz Azul
HATHAT
GF total5388513
GF avg2.51.01.62.02.52.2
GA total5510347
GA avg2.51.72.00.82.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGuadalajara ChivasCruz Azul
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%100%83%67%
1.540%60%67%33%
2.540%40%50%17%
3.520%0%17%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGuadalajara ChivasCruz Azul
HATHAT
Clean sheets000202
Failed to score022101

Penalties

MetricGuadalajara ChivasCruz Azul
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricGuadalajara ChivasCruz Azul
Wins10
Draws02
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-34-11-2
Biggest losses1-21-0
Goals For4343
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricGuadalajara ChivasCruz Azul
Form24%76%
Att38%62%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h40%60%
Goals33%67%
Total36.2%63.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Cruz Azul and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.81 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away2.58 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.06 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ 188Bet
No2.35 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Guadalajara Chivas = 3.24 (league 1.54), Cruz Azul = 5.24 (league 1.19)

Cruz Azul
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guadalajara Chivas 0 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7%
1 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 1.6% 2.1% 2.2%
2 0.1% 0.6% 1.5% 2.6% 3.4% 3.6%
3 0.1% 0.6% 1.6% 2.8% 3.7% 3.9%
4 0.1% 0.5% 1.3% 2.3% 3.0% 3.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.8% 1.5% 1.9% 2.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.9% · Draw 9.7% · Away win 29.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1