Mon, Sep 1 2025 • 03:00 • Estadio Caliente
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.53 (league 1.54) 0.76 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.3% 15.1% 9.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.9%
3 - 0
10.0%
1 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Necaxa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Club Tijuana 0 3.7% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.4% 7.2% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.9% 9.1% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.0% 7.7% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.4% 4.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricClub TijuanaNecaxa
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack90%50%
Defense10%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Club Tijuana Necaxa
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%33%33%33%0%17%
Draws67%33%50%33%33%33%
Loses0%33%17%33%67%50%

Form: Club Tijuana: WLDDWD • Necaxa: LWDDLL

League goals

Metric Club Tijuana Necaxa
HATHAT
GF total5510426
GF avg1.71.71.71.30.71.0
GA total4593710
GA avg1.31.71.51.02.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineClub TijuanaNecaxa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%67%100%
1.550%50%17%33%
2.517%33%17%33%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricClub TijuanaNecaxa
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricClub TijuanaNecaxa
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricClub TijuanaNecaxa
Wins11
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-23-1
Biggest losses3-10-13-0
Goals For3231
Goals Against3313

Model comparison

MetricClub TijuanaNecaxa
Form55%45%
Att64%36%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total57.5%42.5%

Advice: Winner : Club Tijuana

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.42 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.80 @ 188Bet
Away3.05 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.58 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.53 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.51 @ 188Bet
No2.80 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Club Tijuana = 2.53 (league 1.54), Necaxa = 0.76 (league 1.19)

Necaxa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Club Tijuana 0 3.7% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.4% 7.2% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.9% 9.1% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.0% 7.7% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.4% 4.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.3% · Draw 15.1% · Away win 9.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1