Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 03:00 • Estadio El Encanto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.68 (league 1.54) 3.47 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.9% 15.4% 41.0%
best score tips
2 - 3
5.3%
3 - 3
4.8%
2 - 4
4.6%
Score & goals probability table
Atlas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mazatlán 0 0.2% 0.7% 1.3% 1.5% 1.3% 0.9%
1 0.6% 2.0% 3.4% 4.0% 3.4% 2.4%
2 0.8% 2.6% 4.6% 5.3% 4.6% 3.2%
3 0.7% 2.4% 4.1% 4.8% 4.1% 2.9%
4 0.5% 1.6% 2.8% 3.2% 2.8% 1.9%
5 0.2% 0.9% 1.5% 1.7% 1.5% 1.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMazatlánAtlas
Played55
Form13%13%
Attack78%78%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.413 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mazatlán Atlas
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%0%13%0%25%13%
Draws50%25%38%50%25%38%
Loses25%75%50%50%50%50%

Form: Mazatlán: DWLDLDLL • Atlas: WDLLDLLD

League goals

Metric Mazatlán Atlas
HATHAT
GF total7297714
GF avg1.80.51.11.81.81.8
GA total951412921
GA avg2.31.31.83.02.32.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMazatlánAtlas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%88%75%100%
1.550%50%63%88%
2.50%25%38%63%
3.50%13%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMazatlánAtlas
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score033112

Penalties

MetricMazatlánAtlas
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMazatlánAtlas
Wins11
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-3
Biggest losses1-43-20-33-1
Goals For2233
Goals Against4343

Model comparison

MetricMazatlánAtlas
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def52%48%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total56.0%44.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Mazatlán or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.34 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.56 @ Pinnacle
Away3.10 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.89 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.13 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ 188Bet
No2.38 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mazatlán = 2.68 (league 1.54), Atlas = 3.47 (league 1.19)

Atlas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mazatlán 0 0.2% 0.7% 1.3% 1.5% 1.3% 0.9%
1 0.6% 2.0% 3.4% 4.0% 3.4% 2.4%
2 0.8% 2.6% 4.6% 5.3% 4.6% 3.2%
3 0.7% 2.4% 4.1% 4.8% 4.1% 2.9%
4 0.5% 1.6% 2.8% 3.2% 2.8% 1.9%
5 0.2% 0.9% 1.5% 1.7% 1.5% 1.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.9% · Draw 15.4% · Away win 41.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1