Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 03:05 • Estadio BBVA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.51 (league 1.55) 1.92 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.0% 18.9% 28.5%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.2%
2 - 2
6.9%
3 - 1
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
Club America
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monterrey 0 1.2% 2.3% 2.2% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
1 3.0% 5.7% 5.5% 3.5% 1.7% 0.7%
2 3.7% 7.2% 6.9% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
3 3.1% 6.0% 5.8% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7%
4 2.0% 3.8% 3.6% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
5 1.0% 1.9% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMonterreyClub America
Played55
Form100%80%
Attack100%79%
Defense64%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Monterrey Club America
HATHAT
Played358448
Wins100%80%88%75%50%63%
Draws0%0%0%0%50%25%
Loses0%20%13%25%0%13%

Form: Monterrey: LWWWWWWW • Club America: DWDWWWWL

League goals

Metric Monterrey Club America
HATHAT
GF total99187916
GF avg3.01.82.31.82.32.0
GA total369358
GA avg1.01.21.10.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMonterreyClub America
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%63%100%75%
1.563%38%50%25%
2.563%13%38%0%
3.513%0%13%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMonterreyClub America
HATHAT
Clean sheets123202
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricMonterreyClub America
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricMonterreyClub America
Wins04
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-43-12-4
Biggest losses3-01-2
Goals For3434
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricMonterreyClub America
Form56%44%
Att56%44%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h38%62%
Goals45%55%
Total50.7%49.3%

Advice: Double chance : Monterrey or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.49 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away2.91 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ 188Bet
No2.42 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.79 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.11 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Monterrey = 2.51 (league 1.55), Club America = 1.92 (league 1.20)

Club America
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monterrey 0 1.2% 2.3% 2.2% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
1 3.0% 5.7% 5.5% 3.5% 1.7% 0.7%
2 3.7% 7.2% 6.9% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
3 3.1% 6.0% 5.8% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7%
4 2.0% 3.8% 3.6% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
5 1.0% 1.9% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.0% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 28.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1