Thu, Sep 25 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Universitario
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.98 (league 1.54) 1.07 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.6% 13.7% 10.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.3%
3 - 1
8.2%
2 - 0
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
Atlas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tigres UANL 0 1.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.2% 5.5% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
2 7.7% 8.3% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.7% 8.2% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.7% 6.1% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
5 3.4% 3.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTigres UANLAtlas
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack20%40%
Defense85%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.611 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tigres UANL Atlas
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins50%40%44%0%20%11%
Draws25%60%44%50%40%44%
Loses25%0%11%50%40%44%

Form: Tigres UANL: WWWLDWDDD • Atlas: WDLLDLLDD

League goals

Metric Tigres UANL Atlas
HATHAT
GF total98177815
GF avg2.31.61.91.81.61.7
GA total369121022
GA avg0.81.21.03.02.02.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTigres UANLAtlas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%44%78%100%
1.533%33%56%78%
2.522%22%33%56%
3.522%0%0%11%
4.511%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTigres UANLAtlas
HATHAT
Clean sheets325000
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricTigres UANLAtlas
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricTigres UANLAtlas
Wins31
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-03-42-3
Biggest losses1-30-33-1
Goals For7433
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricTigres UANLAtlas
Form70%30%
Att33%67%
Def79%21%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total61.8%38.2%

Advice: Double chance : Tigres UANL or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.47 @ Betano
Draw5.35 @ 1xBet
Away7.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.61 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ 188Bet
No2.16 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tigres UANL = 2.98 (league 1.54), Atlas = 1.07 (league 1.19)

Atlas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tigres UANL 0 1.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.2% 5.5% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
2 7.7% 8.3% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.7% 8.2% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.7% 6.1% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
5 3.4% 3.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.6% · Draw 13.7% · Away win 10.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1