Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 03:00 • Estadio El Encanto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.55) 3.68 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.5% 12.7% 56.3%
best score tips
1 - 3
6.4%
1 - 4
5.9%
2 - 3
5.6%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico San Luis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mazatlán 0 0.4% 1.6% 3.0% 3.6% 3.3% 2.5%
1 0.8% 2.8% 5.2% 6.4% 5.9% 4.3%
2 0.7% 2.5% 4.5% 5.6% 5.1% 3.8%
3 0.4% 1.4% 2.7% 3.3% 3.0% 2.2%
4 0.2% 0.6% 1.2% 1.4% 1.3% 1.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMazatlánAtletico San Luis
Played55
Form13%27%
Attack36%50%
Defense21%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mazatlán Atletico San Luis
HATHAT
Played56115611
Wins20%0%9%0%50%27%
Draws60%33%45%20%0%9%
Loses20%67%45%80%50%64%

Form: Mazatlán: DWLDLDLLDDL • Atletico San Luis: WLLLWLLDWLL

League goals

Metric Mazatlán Atletico San Luis
HATHAT
GF total851331316
GF avg1.60.81.20.62.21.5
GA total10102081018
GA avg2.01.71.81.61.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMazatlánAtletico San Luis
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%91%82%82%
1.545%55%36%45%
2.50%27%18%27%
3.50%9%9%9%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMazatlánAtletico San Luis
HATHAT
Clean sheets011022
Failed to score033202

Penalties

MetricMazatlánAtletico San Luis
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricMazatlánAtletico San Luis
Wins11
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-4
Biggest losses1-43-11-34-3
Goals For2214
Goals Against4334

Model comparison

MetricMazatlánAtletico San Luis
Form33%67%
Att42%58%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h7%93%
Goals38%63%
Total32.7%67.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Atletico San Luis

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.51 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away2.89 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ 188Bet
No2.45 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mazatlán = 1.75 (league 1.55), Atletico San Luis = 3.68 (league 1.20)

Atletico San Luis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mazatlán 0 0.4% 1.6% 3.0% 3.6% 3.3% 2.5%
1 0.8% 2.8% 5.2% 6.4% 5.9% 4.3%
2 0.7% 2.5% 4.5% 5.6% 5.1% 3.8%
3 0.4% 1.4% 2.7% 3.3% 3.0% 2.2%
4 0.2% 0.6% 1.2% 1.4% 1.3% 1.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.5% · Draw 12.7% · Away win 56.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1