Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Universitario
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.00 (league 1.54) 0.81 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.6% 20.5% 14.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.1%
2 - 0
12.1%
1 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Cruz Azul
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tigres UANL 0 6.1% 4.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.1% 9.8% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.1% 9.7% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.0% 6.5% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.0% 3.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTigres UANLCruz Azul
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack42%67%
Defense92%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tigres UANL Cruz Azul
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins60%50%55%67%60%64%
Draws20%50%36%33%20%27%
Loses20%0%9%0%20%9%

Form: Tigres UANL: WWWLDWDDDWW • Cruz Azul: DDWWWWWWWDL

League goals

Metric Tigres UANL Cruz Azul
HATHAT
GF total11102113821
GF avg2.21.71.92.21.61.9
GA total3697714
GA avg0.61.00.81.21.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTigres UANLCruz Azul
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%36%82%73%
1.545%27%64%45%
2.518%18%36%9%
3.518%0%9%0%
4.59%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTigres UANLCruz Azul
HATHAT
Clean sheets437213
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricTigres UANLCruz Azul
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricTigres UANLCruz Azul
Wins37
Draws32
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-00-24-11-2
Biggest losses1-32-0
Goals For7443
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricTigres UANLCruz Azul
Form47%53%
Att38%62%
Def88%13%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total54.5%45.7%

Advice: Double chance : Tigres UANL or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.23 @ 188Bet
Draw3.62 @ Pinnacle
Away3.40 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Pinnacle
No2.27 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tigres UANL = 2.00 (league 1.54), Cruz Azul = 0.81 (league 1.19)

Cruz Azul
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tigres UANL 0 6.1% 4.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.1% 9.8% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.1% 9.7% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.0% 6.5% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.0% 3.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.6% · Draw 20.5% · Away win 14.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1