Liga MX — Mexico
Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 03:00 • Estadio Universitario
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.48 (league 1.55) 0.47 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.1% 6.6% 2.3%
best score tips
3 - 0
13.6%
4 - 0
11.8%
2 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Necaxa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tigres UANL 0 1.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.7% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.7% 5.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.6% 6.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.8% 5.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.2% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTigres UANLNecaxa
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack32%26%
Defense89%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tigres UANL Necaxa
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins50%50%50%33%0%17%
Draws33%50%42%33%17%25%
Loses17%0%8%33%83%58%

Form: Tigres UANL: WWWLDWDDDWWD • Necaxa: LWDDLLLDWLLL

League goals

Metric Tigres UANL Necaxa
HATHAT
GF total1210226511
GF avg2.01.71.81.00.80.9
GA total461051621
GA avg0.71.00.80.82.71.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTigres UANLNecaxa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%42%67%92%
1.542%25%17%42%
2.517%17%8%42%
3.517%0%0%0%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTigres UANLNecaxa
HATHAT
Clean sheets437101
Failed to score112224

Penalties

MetricTigres UANLNecaxa
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricTigres UANLNecaxa
Wins31
Draws32
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-00-23-1—
Biggest losses1-3—0-13-0
Goals For7432
Goals Against3313

Model comparison

MetricTigres UANLNecaxa
Form69%31%
Att55%45%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h85%15%
Goals67%33%
Total74.2%25.8%

Advice: Winner : Tigres UANL

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.59 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.48 @ Pinnacle
Away5.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ 188Bet
No2.24 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.38 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tigres UANL = 3.48 (league 1.55), Necaxa = 0.47 (league 1.20)

Necaxa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tigres UANL 0 1.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.7% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.7% 5.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.6% 6.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.8% 5.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.2% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.1% · Draw 6.6% · Away win 2.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1