Thu, Oct 23 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Corregidora
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.54) 2.27 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.4% 19.4% 59.3%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.7%
1 - 1
8.5%
0 - 2
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Guadalajara Chivas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Club Queretaro 0 3.2% 7.3% 8.3% 6.3% 3.5% 1.6%
1 3.8% 8.5% 9.7% 7.3% 4.1% 1.9%
2 2.2% 5.0% 5.6% 4.3% 2.4% 1.1%
3 0.9% 1.9% 2.2% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.2% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricClub QueretaroGuadalajara Chivas
Played55
Form47%80%
Attack54%69%
Defense31%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Club Queretaro Guadalajara Chivas
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins33%14%23%43%50%46%
Draws17%14%15%14%17%15%
Loses50%71%62%43%33%38%

Form: Club Queretaro: LLLLDWLLWDLWL • Guadalajara Chivas: LWLLDLWDLWWWW

League goals

Metric Club Queretaro Guadalajara Chivas
HATHAT
GF total951411920
GF avg1.50.71.11.61.51.5
GA total11142511718
GA avg1.82.01.91.61.21.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineClub QueretaroGuadalajara Chivas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.546%92%69%77%
1.538%62%54%38%
2.523%31%23%23%
3.50%8%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricClub QueretaroGuadalajara Chivas
HATHAT
Clean sheets011213
Failed to score347224

Penalties

MetricClub QueretaroGuadalajara Chivas
Scored (total | %)3 | 75.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 25.00%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricClub QueretaroGuadalajara Chivas
Wins11
Draws11
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-23-10-2
Biggest losses0-24-00-31-0
Goals For3243
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricClub QueretaroGuadalajara Chivas
Form37%63%
Att44%56%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h15%85%
Goals22%78%
Total31.2%68.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Guadalajara Chivas

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.50 @ Bet365
Draw3.63 @ Pinnacle
Away1.81 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.99 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Marathonbet
No2.05 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Club Queretaro = 1.17 (league 1.54), Guadalajara Chivas = 2.27 (league 1.19)

Guadalajara Chivas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Club Queretaro 0 3.2% 7.3% 8.3% 6.3% 3.5% 1.6%
1 3.8% 8.5% 9.7% 7.3% 4.1% 1.9%
2 2.2% 5.0% 5.6% 4.3% 2.4% 1.1%
3 0.9% 1.9% 2.2% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.2% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.4% · Draw 19.4% · Away win 59.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1