Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 12:45 • Stadion Miejski
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.69) 0.74 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.7% 33.1% 26.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.6%
0 - 0
17.5%
1 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Korona Kielce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arka Gdynia 0 17.5% 12.9% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.6% 13.0% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.8% 6.5% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArka GdyniaKorona Kielce
Played55
Form40%87%
Attack50%100%
Defense0%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arka Gdynia Korona Kielce
HATHAT
Played358448
Wins67%0%25%75%25%50%
Draws33%20%25%0%50%25%
Loses0%80%50%25%25%25%

Form: Arka Gdynia: LDDWLLWL • Korona Kielce: LLDWDWWW

League goals

Metric Arka Gdynia Korona Kielce
HATHAT
GF total4156511
GF avg1.30.20.61.51.31.4
GA total2810257
GA avg0.71.61.30.51.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArka GdyniaKorona Kielce
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%75%75%63%
1.513%25%38%25%
2.50%13%25%0%
3.50%13%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArka GdyniaKorona Kielce
HATHAT
Clean sheets112303
Failed to score044112

Penalties

MetricArka GdyniaKorona Kielce
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricArka GdyniaKorona Kielce
Wins11
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-13-01-3
Biggest losses4-10-22-0
Goals For2133
Goals Against1422

Model comparison

MetricArka GdyniaKorona Kielce
Form32%68%
Att29%71%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h85%15%
Goals67%33%
Total48.5%51.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Korona Kielce

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.84 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ 188Bet
Away2.63 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.09 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ 188Bet
No2.12 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arka Gdynia = 1.00 (league 1.69), Korona Kielce = 0.74 (league 1.23)

Korona Kielce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arka Gdynia 0 17.5% 12.9% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.6% 13.0% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.8% 6.5% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.7% · Draw 33.1% · Away win 26.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1