Mon, Sep 1 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Hidalgo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.60) 3.22 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
6.7% 10.9% 71.6%
best score tips
0 - 3
9.3%
0 - 2
8.6%
1 - 3
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
América W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pachuca W 0 1.7% 5.4% 8.6% 9.3% 7.4% 4.8%
1 1.5% 4.7% 7.6% 8.1% 6.5% 4.2%
2 0.6% 2.1% 3.3% 3.6% 2.9% 1.8%
3 0.2% 0.6% 1.0% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPachuca WAmérica W
Played55
Form67%100%
Attack67%100%
Defense56%72%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.427 | 5.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

7.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

61%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pachuca W América W
HATHAT
Played448538
Wins50%75%63%100%100%100%
Draws25%25%25%0%0%0%
Loses25%0%13%0%0%0%

Form: Pachuca W: WWDLWDWW • América W: WWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Pachuca W América W
HATHAT
GF total81927241034
GF avg2.04.83.44.83.34.3
GA total5510426
GA avg1.31.31.30.80.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePachuca WAmérica W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%88%100%38%
1.575%38%100%25%
2.563%0%75%13%
3.525%0%38%0%
4.525%0%25%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPachuca WAmérica W
HATHAT
Clean sheets011325
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricPachuca WAmérica W
Scored (total | %)1 | 50.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 50.00%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricPachuca WAmérica W
Wins28
Draws10
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-911-00-4
Biggest losses1-2
Goals For39114
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricPachuca WAmérica W
Form40%60%
Att31%69%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h60%40%
Goals47%53%
Total39.8%60.2%

Advice: Combo Winner : América W and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.15 @ Unibet
Draw4.21 @ Pinnacle
Away2.13 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Betano
Under 2.52.90 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.40 @ William Hill
No2.91 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pachuca W = 0.88 (league 1.60), América W = 3.22 (league 1.33)

América W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pachuca W 0 1.7% 5.4% 8.6% 9.3% 7.4% 4.8%
1 1.5% 4.7% 7.6% 8.1% 6.5% 4.2%
2 0.6% 2.1% 3.3% 3.6% 2.9% 1.8%
3 0.2% 0.6% 1.0% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.7% · Draw 10.9% · Away win 71.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1