Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 03:00 • Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.60) 1.44 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.7% 26.2% 43.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
0 - 1
10.9%
1 - 2
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Pachuca W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Juárez W 0 7.6% 10.9% 7.9% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
1 8.6% 12.4% 9.0% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
2 4.9% 7.1% 5.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.9% 2.7% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJuárez WPachuca W
Played55
Form53%87%
Attack33%67%
Defense76%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.414 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Juárez W Pachuca W
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins60%25%44%60%75%67%
Draws40%25%33%20%25%22%
Loses0%50%22%20%0%11%

Form: Juárez W: DWLWWLDWD • Pachuca W: WWDLWDWWW

League goals

Metric Juárez W Pachuca W
HATHAT
GF total7512111930
GF avg1.41.31.32.24.83.3
GA total2577512
GA avg0.41.30.81.41.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJuárez WPachuca W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%56%100%89%
1.556%11%78%44%
2.50%11%67%0%
3.50%0%22%0%
4.50%0%22%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJuárez WPachuca W
HATHAT
Clean sheets314011
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricJuárez WPachuca W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 50.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 50.00%
Total02

Streaks

MetricJuárez WPachuca W
Wins22
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-10-9
Biggest losses3-21-2
Goals For2239
Goals Against1322

Model comparison

MetricJuárez WPachuca W
Form38%62%
Att33%67%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h38%62%
Goals31%69%
Total41.3%58.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Pachuca W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.90 @ Bet365
Draw3.82 @ Pinnacle
Away1.90 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.64 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.33 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ 188Bet
No2.40 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Juárez W = 1.14 (league 1.60), Pachuca W = 1.44 (league 1.33)

Pachuca W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Juárez W 0 7.6% 10.9% 7.9% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
1 8.6% 12.4% 9.0% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
2 4.9% 7.1% 5.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.9% 2.7% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.7% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 43.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1