Tue, Oct 7 2025 • 02:00 • Cancha El Barrial
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.60 (league 1.60) 2.70 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.8% 17.6% 37.3%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.1%
2 - 3
5.5%
3 - 2
5.3%
Score & goals probability table
América W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monterrey W 0 0.5% 1.3% 1.8% 1.6% 1.1% 0.6%
1 1.3% 3.5% 4.7% 4.3% 2.9% 1.5%
2 1.7% 4.6% 6.1% 5.5% 3.7% 2.0%
3 1.5% 3.9% 5.3% 4.8% 3.2% 1.7%
4 1.0% 2.6% 3.5% 3.1% 2.1% 1.1%
5 0.5% 1.3% 1.8% 1.6% 1.1% 0.6%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMonterrey WAmérica W
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack33%52%
Defense67%52%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

84%
FT probability

3.5+

60%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Monterrey W América W
HATHAT
Played58138513
Wins60%50%54%75%60%69%
Draws20%13%15%13%20%15%
Loses20%38%31%13%20%15%

Form: Monterrey W: LWWWWLWDDLWLW • América W: WWWWWWWWLDLDW

League goals

Metric Monterrey W América W
HATHAT
GF total131528301545
GF avg2.61.92.23.83.03.5
GA total613198816
GA avg1.21.61.51.01.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMonterrey WAmérica W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%62%92%54%
1.546%38%92%46%
2.546%23%62%23%
3.531%23%31%0%
4.523%0%15%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMonterrey WAmérica W
HATHAT
Clean sheets145426
Failed to score134101

Penalties

MetricMonterrey WAmérica W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricMonterrey WAmérica W
Wins48
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-511-00-4
Biggest losses0-24-00-23-2
Goals For55114
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricMonterrey WAmérica W
Form58%42%
Att39%61%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h20%80%
Goals32%68%
Total43.2%56.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or América W and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.85 @ 188Bet
Draw4.50 @ Unibet
Away1.91 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.95 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.47 @ Pinnacle
No2.88 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Monterrey W = 2.60 (league 1.60), América W = 2.70 (league 1.33)

América W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monterrey W 0 0.5% 1.3% 1.8% 1.6% 1.1% 0.6%
1 1.3% 3.5% 4.7% 4.3% 2.9% 1.5%
2 1.7% 4.6% 6.1% 5.5% 3.7% 2.0%
3 1.5% 3.9% 5.3% 4.8% 3.2% 1.7%
4 1.0% 2.6% 3.5% 3.1% 2.1% 1.1%
5 0.5% 1.3% 1.8% 1.6% 1.1% 0.6%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.8% · Draw 17.6% · Away win 37.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1