Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 12:30 • Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Lato
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.56) 1.17 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.0% 30.2% 43.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.8%
0 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Ruch Chorzów
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stal Mielec 0 13.5% 15.8% 9.3% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2%
1 11.2% 13.1% 7.7% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 4.7% 5.5% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStal MielecRuch Chorzów
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack31%38%
Defense56%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stal Mielec Ruch Chorzów
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins25%67%43%50%0%29%
Draws25%0%14%25%67%43%
Loses50%33%43%25%33%29%

Form: Stal Mielec: LWLDLWW • Ruch Chorzów: DWLLDWD

League goals

Metric Stal Mielec Ruch Chorzów
HATHAT
GF total4610729
GF avg1.02.01.41.80.71.3
GA total9615448
GA avg2.32.02.11.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStal MielecRuch Chorzów
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%86%71%71%
1.529%57%29%29%
2.514%43%14%14%
3.514%29%14%0%
4.514%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStal MielecRuch Chorzów
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricStal MielecRuch Chorzów
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricStal MielecRuch Chorzów
Wins11
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-14-54-0
Biggest losses0-42-00-23-1
Goals For2541
Goals Against4423

Model comparison

MetricStal MielecRuch Chorzów
Form58%42%
Att45%55%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h80%20%
Goals67%33%
Total56.5%43.5%

Advice: Double chance : Stal Mielec or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.83 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ 188Bet
Away2.52 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ SBO
Under 2.52.00 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ William Hill
No2.21 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stal Mielec = 0.83 (league 1.56), Ruch Chorzów = 1.17 (league 1.38)

Ruch Chorzów
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stal Mielec 0 13.5% 15.8% 9.3% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2%
1 11.2% 13.1% 7.7% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 4.7% 5.5% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.0% · Draw 30.2% · Away win 43.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1