Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 17:30 • Stadion ROSRRiT
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.54) 0.87 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.2% 28.5% 25.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.9%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pogoń Siedlce 0 11.5% 10.0% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 14.9% 12.9% 5.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.6% 8.4% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.2% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPogoń SiedlcePogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack50%71%
Defense57%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pogoń Siedlce Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins20%50%36%67%20%45%
Draws40%17%27%33%20%27%
Loses40%33%36%0%60%27%

Form: Pogoń Siedlce: DLLWWDDWLLW • Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: WDWLWLDLDWW

League goals

Metric Pogoń Siedlce Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
HATHAT
GF total591417623
GF avg1.01.51.32.81.22.1
GA total561161016
GA avg1.01.01.01.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePogoń SiedlcePogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%64%91%82%
1.536%27%64%36%
2.59%9%36%27%
3.50%0%18%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPogoń SiedlcePogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
HATHAT
Clean sheets224202
Failed to score202011

Penalties

MetricPogoń SiedlcePogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricPogoń SiedlcePogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Wins21
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-34-01-2
Biggest losses2-32-13-0
Goals For2342
Goals Against3233

Model comparison

MetricPogoń SiedlcePogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Form47%53%
Att41%59%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h60%40%
Goals56%44%
Total52.5%47.5%

Advice: Double chance : Pogoń Siedlce or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.58 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.67 @ Pinnacle
Away2.60 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ 888Sport
Under 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ 188Bet
No2.36 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pogoń Siedlce = 1.30 (league 1.54), Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki = 0.87 (league 1.38)

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pogoń Siedlce 0 11.5% 10.0% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 14.9% 12.9% 5.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.6% 8.4% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.2% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.2% · Draw 28.5% · Away win 25.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1