Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 18:00 • Kooi Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.75 (league 1.82) 0.38 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
80.5% 10.3% 3.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
16.6%
3 - 0
15.2%
1 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Willem II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cambuur 0 4.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.1% 4.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.6% 6.3% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.2% 5.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.4% 3.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.7% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCambuurWillem II
Played44
Form75%50%
Attack36%29%
Defense86%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.34 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.57 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cambuur Willem II
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%50%75%50%50%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%50%25%50%50%50%

Form: Cambuur: LWWW • Willem II: LLWW

League goals

Metric Cambuur Willem II
HATHAT
GF total415224
GF avg2.00.51.31.01.01.0
GA total112257
GA avg0.50.50.51.02.51.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCambuurWillem II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%75%75%
1.525%0%25%25%
2.525%0%0%25%
3.50%0%0%25%
4.50%0%0%25%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCambuurWillem II
HATHAT
Clean sheets112011
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricCambuurWillem II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCambuurWillem II
Wins00
Draws00
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-12-10-1
Biggest losses1-00-15-1
Goals For3121
Goals Against1115

Model comparison

MetricCambuurWillem II
Form60%40%
Att56%44%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution87%13%
H2h75%25%
Goals67%33%
Total70.5%29.5%

Advice: Winner : Cambuur

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ 188Bet
Draw4.34 @ Pinnacle
Away5.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.25 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ 188Bet
No2.17 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Cambuur = 2.75 (league 1.82), Willem II = 0.38 (league 1.32)

Willem II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cambuur 0 4.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.1% 4.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.6% 6.3% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.2% 5.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.4% 3.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.7% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.5% · Draw 10.3% · Away win 3.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1