Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 18:00 • Parkstad Limburg Stadion
Match Finished
1 - 4
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.82) 0.76 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.7% 30.0% 23.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.9%
0 - 0
14.0%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Waalwijk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Roda 0 14.0% 10.6% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.9% 12.8% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.2% 7.8% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRodaWaalwijk
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack40%27%
Defense60%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Roda Waalwijk
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%67%50%33%33%33%
Draws67%0%33%67%0%33%
Loses0%33%17%0%67%33%

Form: Roda: WWLDDW • Waalwijk: WDLWLD

League goals

Metric Roda Waalwijk
HATHAT
GF total459437
GF avg1.31.71.51.31.01.2
GA total347257
GA avg1.01.31.20.71.71.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRodaWaalwijk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%50%67%83%
1.533%33%33%33%
2.533%33%17%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRodaWaalwijk
HATHAT
Clean sheets213101
Failed to score101022

Penalties

MetricRodaWaalwijk
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricRodaWaalwijk
Wins21
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-32-02-3
Biggest losses3-12-0
Goals For3323
Goals Against3312

Model comparison

MetricRodaWaalwijk
Form62%38%
Att60%40%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h38%62%
Goals38%63%
Total50.8%49.3%

Advice: Double chance : Roda or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.08 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.20 @ Bet365
Away4.00 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.38 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ Dafabet
No2.40 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Roda = 1.21 (league 1.82), Waalwijk = 0.76 (league 1.32)

Waalwijk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Roda 0 14.0% 10.6% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.9% 12.8% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.2% 7.8% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.7% · Draw 30.0% · Away win 23.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1