Tue, Sep 30 2025 • 18:00 • Koning Willem II Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.83) 0.42 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.4% 33.3% 14.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.0%
0 - 0
21.9%
2 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Helmond Sport
0 1 2 3 4 5
Willem II 0 21.9% 9.3% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.0% 10.2% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.1% 5.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.8% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWillem IIHelmond Sport
Played55
Form73%40%
Attack40%25%
Defense75%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Willem II Helmond Sport
HATHAT
Played358448
Wins67%40%50%75%0%38%
Draws0%40%25%0%25%13%
Loses33%20%25%25%75%50%

Form: Willem II: LLWWDDWW • Helmond Sport: LDWLLWLW

League goals

Metric Willem II Helmond Sport
HATHAT
GF total3710639
GF avg1.01.41.31.50.81.1
GA total29114812
GA avg0.71.81.41.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWillem IIHelmond Sport
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%75%88%75%
1.538%25%25%50%
2.50%13%0%25%
3.50%13%0%0%
4.50%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWillem IIHelmond Sport
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricWillem IIHelmond Sport
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricWillem IIHelmond Sport
Wins21
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-22-0
Biggest losses0-15-11-33-1
Goals For2221
Goals Against1533

Model comparison

MetricWillem IIHelmond Sport
Form65%35%
Att62%38%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h93%7%
Goals82%18%
Total73.2%26.8%

Advice: Double chance : Willem II or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ William Hill
Draw3.80 @ Unibet
Away3.67 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ 188Bet
No2.36 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Willem II = 1.10 (league 1.83), Helmond Sport = 0.42 (league 1.32)

Helmond Sport
0 1 2 3 4 5
Willem II 0 21.9% 9.3% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.0% 10.2% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.1% 5.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.8% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.4% · Draw 33.3% · Away win 14.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1