Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 19:00 • Kooi Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.00 (league 1.82) 1.82 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.3% 21.2% 34.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.0%
2 - 1
8.0%
1 - 2
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
De Graafschap
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cambuur 0 2.2% 4.0% 3.6% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
1 4.4% 8.0% 7.3% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.4% 8.0% 7.3% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7%
3 2.9% 5.3% 4.8% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5%
4 1.5% 2.7% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2%
5 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCambuurDe Graafschap
Played55
Form87%60%
Attack100%71%
Defense43%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cambuur De Graafschap
HATHAT
Played5510549
Wins80%60%70%40%25%33%
Draws20%20%20%20%50%33%
Loses0%20%10%40%25%33%

Form: Cambuur: LWWWDWWWDW • De Graafschap: WLLLDWDWD

League goals

Metric Cambuur De Graafschap
HATHAT
GF total147219615
GF avg2.81.42.11.81.51.7
GA total84129514
GA avg1.60.81.21.81.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCambuurDe Graafschap
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%70%78%100%
1.550%40%56%44%
2.540%10%33%11%
3.520%0%0%0%
4.510%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCambuurDe Graafschap
HATHAT
Clean sheets123000
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricCambuurDe Graafschap
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCambuurDe Graafschap
Wins31
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-32-43-21-3
Biggest losses1-02-31-0
Goals For5433
Goals Against3232

Model comparison

MetricCambuurDe Graafschap
Form59%41%
Att58%42%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h71%29%
Goals59%41%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Cambuur or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.06 @ 1xBet
Draw4.28 @ Pinnacle
Away3.30 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.38 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.12 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.38 @ 188Bet
No3.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cambuur = 2.00 (league 1.82), De Graafschap = 1.82 (league 1.32)

De Graafschap
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cambuur 0 2.2% 4.0% 3.6% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
1 4.4% 8.0% 7.3% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.4% 8.0% 7.3% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7%
3 2.9% 5.3% 4.8% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5%
4 1.5% 2.7% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2%
5 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.3% · Draw 21.2% · Away win 34.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1