Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • Tynecastle Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.39 (league 1.57) 1.14 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.6% 18.3% 16.5%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.5%
2 - 0
8.4%
1 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Falkirk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heart Of Midlothian 0 2.9% 3.3% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 7.0% 8.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.4% 9.5% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.7% 7.6% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 4.0% 4.5% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.9% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHeart Of MidlothianFalkirk
Played55
Form87%33%
Attack60%35%
Defense70%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Heart Of Midlothian Falkirk
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%100%80%0%50%20%
Draws50%0%20%67%0%40%
Loses0%0%0%33%50%40%

Form: Heart Of Midlothian: WWDWW • Falkirk: DLWLD

League goals

Metric Heart Of Midlothian Falkirk
HATHAT
GF total5712527
GF avg2.52.32.41.71.01.4
GA total336639
GA avg1.51.01.22.01.51.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHeart Of MidlothianFalkirk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%60%100%80%
1.5100%40%40%80%
2.540%20%0%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHeart Of MidlothianFalkirk
HATHAT
Clean sheets112011
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricHeart Of MidlothianFalkirk
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricHeart Of MidlothianFalkirk
Wins21
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-20-1
Biggest losses1-23-1
Goals For3321
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricHeart Of MidlothianFalkirk
Form72%28%
Att63%37%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h60%40%
Goals67%33%
Total65.7%34.3%

Advice: Double chance : Heart Of Midlothian or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.56 @ Superbet
Draw4.53 @ Pinnacle
Away6.10 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.72 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.25 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No2.06 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Heart Of Midlothian = 2.39 (league 1.57), Falkirk = 1.14 (league 1.32)

Falkirk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heart Of Midlothian 0 2.9% 3.3% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 7.0% 8.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.4% 9.5% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.7% 7.6% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 4.0% 4.5% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.9% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.6% · Draw 18.3% · Away win 16.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1