Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 15:30 • Mestni stadion Fazanerija
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.67) 1.29 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.3% 27.3% 39.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 1
11.1%
1 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Olimpija Ljubljana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mura 0 8.6% 11.1% 7.1% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3%
1 10.0% 12.9% 8.3% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.8% 7.5% 4.8% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.3% 2.9% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMuraOlimpija Ljubljana
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack33%33%
Defense72%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mura Olimpija Ljubljana
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins25%0%11%40%50%44%
Draws75%0%33%0%25%11%
Loses0%100%56%60%25%44%

Form: Mura: LLDLWLDLD • Olimpija Ljubljana: WWLWLDWLL

League goals

Metric Mura Olimpija Ljubljana
HATHAT
GF total6174913
GF avg1.50.20.80.82.31.4
GA total391210515
GA avg0.81.81.32.01.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMuraOlimpija Ljubljana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%78%89%67%
1.522%44%33%44%
2.511%11%22%33%
3.50%0%0%11%
4.50%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMuraOlimpija Ljubljana
HATHAT
Clean sheets202213
Failed to score145101

Penalties

MetricMuraOlimpija Ljubljana
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricMuraOlimpija Ljubljana
Wins12
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-00-3
Biggest losses3-00-53-2
Goals For3113
Goals Against2353

Model comparison

MetricMuraOlimpija Ljubljana
Form56%44%
Att50%50%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h7%93%
Goals18%82%
Total41.2%58.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Olimpija Ljubljana

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.06 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.56 @ Pinnacle
Away1.96 @ SBO

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.90 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Mura = 1.17 (league 1.67), Olimpija Ljubljana = 1.29 (league 1.43)

Olimpija Ljubljana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mura 0 8.6% 11.1% 7.1% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3%
1 10.0% 12.9% 8.3% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.8% 7.5% 4.8% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.3% 2.9% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.3% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 39.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1