Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 16:00 • epet ARENA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.84 (league 1.36) 3.05 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.4% 16.2% 53.5%
best score tips
1 - 3
6.5%
1 - 2
6.4%
2 - 3
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
Plzen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sparta Praha 0 0.8% 2.3% 3.5% 3.6% 2.7% 1.7%
1 1.4% 4.2% 6.4% 6.5% 5.0% 3.0%
2 1.3% 3.9% 5.9% 6.0% 4.6% 2.8%
3 0.8% 2.4% 3.6% 3.7% 2.8% 1.7%
4 0.4% 1.1% 1.7% 1.7% 1.3% 0.8%
5 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSparta PrahaPlzen
Played55
Form80%67%
Attack67%60%
Defense67%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sparta Praha Plzen
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins100%50%75%50%50%50%
Draws0%25%13%50%25%38%
Loses0%25%13%0%25%13%

Form: Sparta Praha: DWWWWWWL • Plzen: WDDLWWDW

League goals

Metric Sparta Praha Plzen
HATHAT
GF total1071751116
GF avg2.51.82.11.32.82.0
GA total549347
GA avg1.31.01.10.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSparta PrahaPlzen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%75%88%75%
1.563%38%38%13%
2.550%0%25%0%
3.50%0%25%0%
4.50%0%25%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSparta PrahaPlzen
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricSparta PrahaPlzen
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSparta PrahaPlzen
Wins62
Draws12
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-32-10-5
Biggest losses2-12-0
Goals For3325
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricSparta PrahaPlzen
Form55%45%
Att53%47%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total42.2%57.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Plzen

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.98 @ 188Bet
Draw3.60 @ Marathonbet
Away3.93 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ William Hill
No2.28 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.77 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.08 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sparta Praha = 1.84 (league 1.36), Plzen = 3.05 (league 1.19)

Plzen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sparta Praha 0 0.8% 2.3% 3.5% 3.6% 2.7% 1.7%
1 1.4% 4.2% 6.4% 6.5% 5.0% 3.0%
2 1.3% 3.9% 5.9% 6.0% 4.6% 2.8%
3 0.8% 2.4% 3.6% 3.7% 2.8% 1.7%
4 0.4% 1.1% 1.7% 1.7% 1.3% 0.8%
5 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.4% · Draw 16.2% · Away win 53.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1