Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.12) 0.66 (league 0.82)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.3% 29.4% 19.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.5%
0 - 0
14.5%
1 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo Merlo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sportivo Italiano 0 14.5% 9.5% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.5% 12.1% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.8% 7.7% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.0% 3.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSportivo ItalianoDeportivo Merlo
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack25%100%
Defense25%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sportivo Italiano Deportivo Merlo
HATHAT
Played161632171633
Wins38%13%25%29%25%27%
Draws38%50%44%35%38%36%
Loses25%38%31%35%38%36%

Form: Sportivo Italiano: DDDDLLLDDLDLWWDLWDLWLWWDWLWLDDDD • Deportivo Merlo: LLWDDDWWWLLWDLDWDDLWLWLDLDDLDLWLD

League goals

Metric Sportivo Italiano Deportivo Merlo
HATHAT
GF total181028131427
GF avg1.10.60.90.80.90.8
GA total101626142034
GA avg0.61.00.80.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSportivo ItalianoDeportivo Merlo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%59%55%67%
1.525%22%21%27%
2.56%0%6%9%
3.53%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSportivo ItalianoDeportivo Merlo
HATHAT
Clean sheets85137411
Failed to score87159615

Penalties

MetricSportivo ItalianoDeportivo Merlo
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricSportivo ItalianoDeportivo Merlo
Wins23
Draws43
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-23-10-2
Biggest losses0-22-00-23-0
Goals For4232
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricSportivo ItalianoDeportivo Merlo
Form44%56%
Att14%86%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h85%15%
Goals70%30%
Total58.2%41.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Sportivo Italiano or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.12 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.84 @ Marathonbet
Away3.93 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ William Hill
No1.53 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.00 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.33 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sportivo Italiano = 1.28 (league 1.12), Deportivo Merlo = 0.66 (league 0.82)

Deportivo Merlo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sportivo Italiano 0 14.5% 9.5% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.5% 12.1% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.8% 7.7% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.0% 3.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.3% · Draw 29.4% · Away win 19.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1