League Two — England
Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 11:30 • Rodney Parade
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.38) 1.14 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.5% 30.4% 42.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.4%
0 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Bristol Rovers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newport County 0 13.5% 15.4% 8.8% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.6% 13.3% 7.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.0% 5.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewport CountyBristol Rovers
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack57%57%
Defense0%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newport County Bristol Rovers
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins0%33%17%33%33%33%
Draws33%0%17%33%0%17%
Loses67%67%67%33%67%50%

Form: Newport County: DWLLLL • Bristol Rovers: LLLDWW

League goals

Metric Newport County Bristol Rovers
HATHAT
GF total235134
GF avg0.71.00.80.31.00.7
GA total459156
GA avg1.31.71.50.31.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewport CountyBristol Rovers
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%100%67%50%
1.517%50%0%33%
2.50%0%0%17%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewport CountyBristol Rovers
HATHAT
Clean sheets000213
Failed to score112202

Penalties

MetricNewport CountyBristol Rovers
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricNewport CountyBristol Rovers
Wins10
Draws11
Losses03

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-21-00-1
Biggest losses1-22-00-13-1
Goals For1211
Goals Against2213

Model comparison

MetricNewport CountyBristol Rovers
Form30%70%
Att50%50%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h50%50%
Goals46%54%
Total43.0%57.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Bristol Rovers

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.75 @ Unibet
Draw3.84 @ Pinnacle
Away1.98 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ William Hill
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newport County = 0.86 (league 1.38), Bristol Rovers = 1.14 (league 1.14)

Bristol Rovers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newport County 0 13.5% 15.4% 8.8% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.6% 13.3% 7.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.0% 5.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.5% · Draw 30.4% · Away win 42.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1