Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 11:30 • Swansea.com Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.31) 1.18 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.8% 30.7% 47.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.0%
0 - 0
15.3%
1 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Millwall
0 1 2 3 4 5
Swansea 0 15.3% 18.0% 10.7% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.6% 12.6% 7.4% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 3.7% 4.4% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSwanseaMillwall
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack50%25%
Defense67%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Swansea Millwall
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%33%33%33%67%50%
Draws67%0%33%0%33%17%
Loses0%67%33%67%0%33%

Form: Swansea: LWDWDL • Millwall: WLWLDW

League goals

Metric Swansea Millwall
HATHAT
GF total426145
GF avg1.30.71.00.31.30.8
GA total325527
GA avg1.00.70.81.70.71.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSwanseaMillwall
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%67%67%
1.533%17%17%33%
2.50%0%0%17%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSwanseaMillwall
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score022202

Penalties

MetricSwanseaMillwall
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSwanseaMillwall
Wins11
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-21-01-2
Biggest losses1-00-3
Goals For2212
Goals Against2131

Model comparison

MetricSwanseaMillwall
Form53%47%
Att67%33%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h20%80%
Goals44%56%
Total47.5%52.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Swansea or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.24 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.32 @ Pinnacle
Away3.60 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ SBO
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ 188Bet
No1.86 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Swansea = 0.70 (league 1.31), Millwall = 1.18 (league 1.10)

Millwall
0 1 2 3 4 5
Swansea 0 15.3% 18.0% 10.7% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.6% 12.6% 7.4% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 3.7% 4.4% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.8% · Draw 30.7% · Away win 47.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1