Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 11:30 • SToK Cae Ras
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
2.20 (league 1.31) 3.20 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.3% 16.1% 47.9%
best score tips
2 - 3
6.0%
2 - 2
5.6%
1 - 3
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
Derby
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wrexham 0 0.5% 1.4% 2.3% 2.5% 2.0% 1.3%
1 1.0% 3.2% 5.1% 5.4% 4.3% 2.8%
2 1.1% 3.5% 5.6% 6.0% 4.8% 3.1%
3 0.8% 2.6% 4.1% 4.4% 3.5% 2.2%
4 0.4% 1.4% 2.3% 2.4% 1.9% 1.2%
5 0.2% 0.6% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWrexhamDerby
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack83%58%
Defense17%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Wrexham Derby
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins0%67%33%0%33%17%
Draws33%0%17%33%33%33%
Loses67%33%50%67%33%50%

Form: Wrexham: LLDWLW • Derby: LLDDWL

League goals

Metric Wrexham Derby
HATHAT
GF total5611448
GF avg1.72.01.81.31.31.3
GA total84127512
GA avg2.71.32.02.31.72.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWrexhamDerby
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%83%83%83%
1.567%83%33%50%
2.517%33%17%33%
3.50%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%17%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWrexhamDerby
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricWrexhamDerby
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricWrexhamDerby
Wins11
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-20-1
Biggest losses1-32-13-53-1
Goals For2332
Goals Against3253

Model comparison

MetricWrexhamDerby
Form58%42%
Att59%41%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total52.3%47.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Wrexham or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.16 @ 1xBet
Draw3.49 @ Pinnacle
Away3.65 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.73 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.96 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Wrexham = 2.20 (league 1.31), Derby = 3.20 (league 1.10)

Derby
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wrexham 0 0.5% 1.4% 2.3% 2.5% 2.0% 1.3%
1 1.0% 3.2% 5.1% 5.4% 4.3% 2.8%
2 1.1% 3.5% 5.6% 6.0% 4.8% 3.1%
3 0.8% 2.6% 4.1% 4.4% 3.5% 2.2%
4 0.4% 1.4% 2.3% 2.4% 1.9% 1.2%
5 0.2% 0.6% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.3% · Draw 16.1% · Away win 47.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1