Tue, Sep 30 2025 • 18:45 • St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.31) 0.46 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.8% 35.3% 16.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.2%
1 - 0
23.1%
2 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Sheffield Wednesday
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birmingham 0 23.2% 10.8% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.1% 10.7% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.5% 5.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBirminghamSheffield Wednesday
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack22%56%
Defense33%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Birmingham Sheffield Wednesday
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins67%25%43%0%33%14%
Draws33%0%14%25%33%29%
Loses0%75%43%75%33%57%

Form: Birmingham: DWWLLWL • Sheffield Wednesday: LLDLLWD

League goals

Metric Birmingham Sheffield Wednesday
HATHAT
GF total325156
GF avg1.00.50.70.31.70.9
GA total1789413
GA avg0.31.81.12.31.31.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBirminghamSheffield Wednesday
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%71%57%86%
1.514%29%29%71%
2.50%14%0%29%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBirminghamSheffield Wednesday
HATHAT
Clean sheets202011
Failed to score033303

Penalties

MetricBirminghamSheffield Wednesday
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricBirminghamSheffield Wednesday
Wins21
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-20-2
Biggest losses3-00-32-1
Goals For1212
Goals Against1332

Model comparison

MetricBirminghamSheffield Wednesday
Form55%45%
Att29%71%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h50%50%
Goals46%54%
Total51.2%48.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Birmingham or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ Betano
Draw4.38 @ Pinnacle
Away7.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.93 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ 188Bet
No1.78 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Birmingham = 1.00 (league 1.31), Sheffield Wednesday = 0.46 (league 1.10)

Sheffield Wednesday
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birmingham 0 23.2% 10.8% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.1% 10.7% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.5% 5.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.8% · Draw 35.3% · Away win 16.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1