Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • Fratton Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.31) 2.73 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.8% 13.5% 72.7%
best score tips
0 - 2
11.3%
0 - 3
10.3%
1 - 2
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Middlesbrough
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portsmouth 0 3.0% 8.3% 11.3% 10.3% 7.1% 3.9%
1 2.3% 6.3% 8.6% 7.9% 5.4% 2.9%
2 0.9% 2.4% 3.3% 3.0% 2.0% 1.1%
3 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPortsmouthMiddlesbrough
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack36%55%
Defense45%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Portsmouth Middlesbrough
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%25%25%75%50%63%
Draws25%50%38%25%50%38%
Loses50%25%38%0%0%0%

Form: Portsmouth: WLDWDLLD • Middlesbrough: WWWWDWDD

League goals

Metric Portsmouth Middlesbrough
HATHAT
GF total4374812
GF avg1.00.80.91.02.01.5
GA total639145
GA avg1.50.81.10.31.00.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePortsmouthMiddlesbrough
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%63%88%50%
1.513%50%50%13%
2.50%0%13%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPortsmouthMiddlesbrough
HATHAT
Clean sheets123314
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricPortsmouthMiddlesbrough
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPortsmouthMiddlesbrough
Wins14
Draws11
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-12-10-3
Biggest losses0-22-1
Goals For2123
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricPortsmouthMiddlesbrough
Form36%64%
Att40%60%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h50%50%
Goals47%53%
Total39.8%60.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Middlesbrough

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.12 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Unibet
Away2.47 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Betano
Under 2.51.84 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No2.03 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Portsmouth = 0.76 (league 1.31), Middlesbrough = 2.73 (league 1.10)

Middlesbrough
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portsmouth 0 3.0% 8.3% 11.3% 10.3% 7.1% 3.9%
1 2.3% 6.3% 8.6% 7.9% 5.4% 2.9%
2 0.9% 2.4% 3.3% 3.0% 2.0% 1.1%
3 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.8% · Draw 13.5% · Away win 72.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1