Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 14:00 • Toughsheet Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.44) 0.80 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.4% 25.7% 19.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.9%
1 - 1
11.9%
2 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
AFC Wimbledon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bolton 0 9.7% 7.7% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.9% 11.9% 4.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.5% 9.1% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.9% 4.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBoltonAFC Wimbledon
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack86%100%
Defense43%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bolton AFC Wimbledon
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%0%17%67%33%50%
Draws67%67%67%0%0%0%
Loses0%33%17%33%67%50%

Form: Bolton: LWDDDD • AFC Wimbledon: LWWLWL

League goals

Metric Bolton AFC Wimbledon
HATHAT
GF total426448
GF avg1.30.71.01.31.31.3
GA total246156
GA avg0.71.31.00.31.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBoltonAFC Wimbledon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%67%67%
1.517%17%67%17%
2.50%0%0%17%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBoltonAFC Wimbledon
HATHAT
Clean sheets101202
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricBoltonAFC Wimbledon
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricBoltonAFC Wimbledon
Wins12
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-01-2
Biggest losses2-00-13-2
Goals For2122
Goals Against1213

Model comparison

MetricBoltonAFC Wimbledon
Form44%56%
Att43%57%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h64%36%
Goals63%38%
Total55.2%45.0%

Advice: Double chance : Bolton or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.52 @ Betano
Draw4.33 @ Betfair
Away7.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Bolton = 1.54 (league 1.44), AFC Wimbledon = 0.80 (league 1.14)

AFC Wimbledon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bolton 0 9.7% 7.7% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.9% 11.9% 4.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.5% 9.1% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.9% 4.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.4% · Draw 25.7% · Away win 19.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1