Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 14:00 •
Sixfields Stadium
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.44)
0.66 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 44.1% | 33.1% | 22.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
19.1%
0 - 0
18.3%
1 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Luton | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Northampton | 0 | 18.3% | 12.0% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.1% | 12.5% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.0% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Northampton | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 27% |
| Attack | 57% | 86% |
| Defense | 43% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Northampton | Luton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Wins | 50% | 20% | 36% | 60% | 33% | 45% |
| Draws | 17% | 20% | 18% | 0% | 17% | 9% |
| Loses | 33% | 60% | 45% | 40% | 50% | 45% |
Form: Northampton: LDLLWWWLWDL • Luton: WWLWLWLLWDL
League goals
| Metric | Northampton | Luton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 3 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Northampton | Luton | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 55% | 45% | 82% | 55% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 36% | 36% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 9% | 9% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Northampton | Luton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Northampton | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Northampton | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Northampton | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 55.2% | 44.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Northampton or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Northampton = 1.04 (league 1.44), Luton = 0.66 (league 1.14)
| Luton | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Northampton | 0 | 18.3% | 12.0% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.1% | 12.5% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.0% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.1% · Draw 33.1% · Away win 22.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1