Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 18:45 • Groupama Stadium
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
1.72 (league 1.75) 0.05 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.7% 18.5% 0.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
29.3%
2 - 0
25.2%
0 - 0
17.0%
Score & goals probability table
Marseille
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lyon 0 17.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.3% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 25.2% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLyonMarseille
Played22
Form100%50%
Attack16%20%
Defense100%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 25 | 2.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 03 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lyon Marseille
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins100%100%100%100%0%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%100%50%

Form: Lyon: WW • Marseille: LW

League goals

Metric Lyon Marseille
HATHAT
GF total314505
GF avg3.01.02.05.00.02.5
GA total000213
GA avg0.00.00.02.01.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLyonMarseille
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%0%50%100%
1.550%0%50%50%
2.550%0%50%0%
3.50%0%50%0%
4.50%0%50%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLyonMarseille
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricLyonMarseille
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricLyonMarseille
Wins20
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-15-2
Biggest losses1-0
Goals For3150
Goals Against0021

Model comparison

MetricLyonMarseille
Form67%33%
Att44%56%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h20%80%
Goals35%65%
Total41.5%58.5%

Advice: Double chance : Lyon or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.05 @ Betano
Draw3.90 @ 188Bet
Away2.45 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.25 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ William Hill
No2.67 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lyon = 1.72 (league 1.75), Marseille = 0.05 (league 1.33)

Marseille
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lyon 0 17.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.3% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 25.2% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.7% · Draw 18.5% · Away win 0.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1