Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 15:15 • Stade Jean Bouin
Match Finished
3 - 2
Expected Goals
1.72 (league 1.75) 0.05 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.7% 18.5% 0.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
29.3%
2 - 0
25.2%
0 - 0
17.0%
Score & goals probability table
Metz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paris FC 0 17.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.3% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 25.2% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricParis FCMetz
Played22
Form0%0%
Attack8%0%
Defense75%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 10 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 34 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paris FC Metz
HATHAT
Played022112
Wins0%0%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%
Loses100%100%100%100%100%

Form: Paris FC: LL • Metz: LL

League goals

Metric Paris FC Metz
HATHAT
GF total022000
GF avg0.01.01.00.00.00.0
GA total066134
GA avg0.03.03.01.03.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineParis FCMetz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%0%100%
1.550%50%0%50%
2.50%50%0%50%
3.50%50%0%0%
4.50%50%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricParis FCMetz
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricParis FCMetz
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricParis FCMetz
Wins00
Draws00
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins
Biggest losses5-20-13-0
Goals For0200
Goals Against0513

Model comparison

MetricParis FCMetz
Form0%0%
Att100%0%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h7%93%
Goals25%75%
Total24.0%76.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Metz

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ 1xBet
Draw3.94 @ 1xBet
Away4.82 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Pinnacle
No2.04 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Paris FC = 1.72 (league 1.75), Metz = 0.05 (league 1.33)

Metz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paris FC 0 17.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.3% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 25.2% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.7% · Draw 18.5% · Away win 0.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1