Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 18:45 • Stade Jean Bouin
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.87 (league 1.75) 0.56 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.1% 11.0% 4.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.3%
3 - 0
12.7%
1 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Lorient
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paris FC 0 3.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.3% 5.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.3% 7.5% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.7% 7.2% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.1% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.2% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricParis FCLorient
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.413 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paris FC Lorient
HATHAT
Played246336
Wins50%25%33%67%0%33%
Draws0%25%17%0%33%17%
Loses50%50%50%33%67%50%

Form: Paris FC: LLWWLD • Lorient: LWLLDW

League goals

Metric Paris FC Lorient
HATHAT
GF total5510819
GF avg2.51.31.72.70.31.5
GA total58138614
GA avg2.52.02.22.72.02.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineParis FCLorient
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%100%67%83%
1.567%50%33%33%
2.517%33%33%33%
3.50%17%17%33%
4.50%17%0%17%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricParis FCLorient
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score011022

Penalties

MetricParis FCLorient
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricParis FCLorient
Wins21
Draws01
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-24-0
Biggest losses2-35-21-74-0
Goals For3241
Goals Against3574

Model comparison

MetricParis FCLorient
Form50%50%
Att53%47%
Def52%48%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h29%71%
Goals31%69%
Total49.0%51.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Lorient and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ 1xBet
Draw4.13 @ 1xBet
Away4.90 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.19 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Pinnacle
No2.15 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Paris FC = 2.87 (league 1.75), Lorient = 0.56 (league 1.33)

Lorient
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paris FC 0 3.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.3% 5.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.3% 7.5% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.7% 7.2% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.1% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.2% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.1% · Draw 11.0% · Away win 4.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1