Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 15:30 • SIGNAL IDUNA PARK
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.95 (league 1.54) 3.86 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.1% 12.5% 52.9%
best score tips
1 - 3
5.6%
2 - 3
5.5%
1 - 4
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
Union Berlin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Borussia Dortmund 0 0.3% 1.2% 2.2% 2.9% 2.8% 2.1%
1 0.6% 2.3% 4.4% 5.6% 5.4% 4.2%
2 0.6% 2.2% 4.2% 5.5% 5.3% 4.1%
3 0.4% 1.4% 2.8% 3.5% 3.4% 2.6%
4 0.2% 0.7% 1.3% 1.7% 1.7% 1.3%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBorussia DortmundUnion Berlin
Played11
Form33%100%
Attack17%11%
Defense83%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 32 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 31 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Borussia Dortmund Union Berlin
HATHAT
Played011101
Wins0%0%100%100%
Draws100%100%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%

Form: Borussia Dortmund: D • Union Berlin: W

League goals

Metric Borussia Dortmund Union Berlin
HATHAT
GF total033202
GF avg0.03.03.02.00.02.0
GA total033101
GA avg0.03.03.01.00.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBorussia DortmundUnion Berlin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%100%100%0%
2.5100%100%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBorussia DortmundUnion Berlin
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricBorussia DortmundUnion Berlin
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBorussia DortmundUnion Berlin
Wins01
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1
Biggest losses
Goals For0320
Goals Against0310

Model comparison

MetricBorussia DortmundUnion Berlin
Form25%75%
Att60%40%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h80%20%
Goals75%25%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Borussia Dortmund or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ Betano
Draw5.40 @ Unibet
Away7.65 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.60 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Pinnacle
No2.15 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Borussia Dortmund = 1.95 (league 1.54), Union Berlin = 3.86 (league 1.55)

Union Berlin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Borussia Dortmund 0 0.3% 1.2% 2.2% 2.9% 2.8% 2.1%
1 0.6% 2.3% 4.4% 5.6% 5.4% 4.2%
2 0.6% 2.2% 4.2% 5.5% 5.3% 4.1%
3 0.4% 1.4% 2.8% 3.5% 3.4% 2.6%
4 0.2% 0.7% 1.3% 1.7% 1.7% 1.3%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.1% · Draw 12.5% · Away win 52.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1