Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 16:30 • Red Bull Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.95 (league 1.54) 2.57 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.0% 18.6% 47.3%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.0%
2 - 2
6.8%
1 - 3
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
1.FC Köln
0 1 2 3 4 5
RB Leipzig 0 1.1% 2.8% 3.6% 3.1% 2.0% 1.0%
1 2.1% 5.5% 7.0% 6.0% 3.9% 2.0%
2 2.1% 5.3% 6.8% 5.9% 3.8% 1.9%
3 1.3% 3.5% 4.4% 3.8% 2.4% 1.3%
4 0.7% 1.7% 2.2% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6%
5 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRB Leipzig1.FC Köln
Played33
Form67%78%
Attack17%44%
Defense67%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 18 | 2.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 24 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric RB Leipzig 1.FC Köln
HATHAT
Played123123
Wins100%50%67%100%50%67%
Draws0%0%0%0%50%33%
Loses0%50%33%0%0%0%

Form: RB Leipzig: LWW • 1.FC Köln: WWD

League goals

Metric RB Leipzig 1.FC Köln
HATHAT
GF total213448
GF avg2.00.51.04.02.02.7
GA total066134
GA avg0.03.02.01.01.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRB Leipzig1.FC Köln
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%33%100%67%
1.533%33%67%33%
2.50%33%67%33%
3.50%33%33%0%
4.50%33%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRB Leipzig1.FC Köln
HATHAT
Clean sheets112011
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricRB Leipzig1.FC Köln
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricRB Leipzig1.FC Köln
Wins02
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-14-10-1
Biggest losses6-0
Goals For2143
Goals Against0613

Model comparison

MetricRB Leipzig1.FC Köln
Form46%54%
Att27%73%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h85%15%
Goals80%20%
Total55.6%44.4%

Advice: Double chance : RB Leipzig or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.92 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.36 @ 1xBet
Away3.94 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ William Hill
No3.02 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.89 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): RB Leipzig = 1.95 (league 1.54), 1.FC Köln = 2.57 (league 1.55)

1.FC Köln
0 1 2 3 4 5
RB Leipzig 0 1.1% 2.8% 3.6% 3.1% 2.0% 1.0%
1 2.1% 5.5% 7.0% 6.0% 3.9% 2.0%
2 2.1% 5.3% 6.8% 5.9% 3.8% 1.9%
3 1.3% 3.5% 4.4% 3.8% 2.4% 1.3%
4 0.7% 1.7% 2.2% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6%
5 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.0% · Draw 18.6% · Away win 47.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1