Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 13:30 • Weserstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
7.80 (league 1.54) 1.93 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.8% 1.8% 1.2%
best score tips
5 - 1
2.8%
5 - 2
2.7%
4 - 1
1.8%
Score & goals probability table
SC Freiburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Werder Bremen 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.8% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 1.4% 2.8% 2.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWerder BremenSC Freiburg
Played33
Form44%33%
Attack40%25%
Defense65%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 2.75 | 1.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 2.38 | 2.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

70%
FT probability

BTTS

97%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Werder Bremen SC Freiburg
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins0%50%33%50%0%33%
Draws100%0%33%0%0%0%
Loses0%50%33%50%100%67%

Form: Werder Bremen: LDW • SC Freiburg: LLW

League goals

Metric Werder Bremen SC Freiburg
HATHAT
GF total358415
GF avg3.02.52.72.01.01.7
GA total347448
GA avg3.02.02.32.04.02.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWerder BremenSC Freiburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%100%100%
1.567%67%33%67%
2.567%67%33%67%
3.533%33%0%33%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWerder BremenSC Freiburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricWerder BremenSC Freiburg
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricWerder BremenSC Freiburg
Wins00
Draws10
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-43-1
Biggest losses4-11-34-1
Goals For3431
Goals Against3434

Model comparison

MetricWerder BremenSC Freiburg
Form57%43%
Att62%38%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h20%80%
Goals29%71%
Total49.5%50.5%

Advice: Combo Winner : Werder Bremen and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.51 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.75 @ 1xBet
Away2.85 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ Pinnacle
No2.67 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.41 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Werder Bremen = 7.80 (league 1.54), SC Freiburg = 1.93 (league 1.55)

SC Freiburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Werder Bremen 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.8% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 1.4% 2.8% 2.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.8% · Draw 1.8% · Away win 1.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1