Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 15:30 • Millerntor-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.69 (league 1.54) 2.96 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.3% 16.3% 55.7%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.1%
1 - 3
7.0%
2 - 2
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
1899 Hoffenheim
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC St. Pauli 0 1.0% 2.8% 4.2% 4.1% 3.1% 1.8%
1 1.6% 4.8% 7.1% 7.0% 5.2% 3.1%
2 1.4% 4.0% 6.0% 5.9% 4.4% 2.6%
3 0.8% 2.3% 3.4% 3.3% 2.5% 1.5%
4 0.3% 1.0% 1.4% 1.4% 1.0% 0.6%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC St. Pauli1899 Hoffenheim
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack25%35%
Defense70%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

87%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC St. Pauli 1899 Hoffenheim
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%33%33%0%67%33%
Draws33%0%17%0%33%17%
Loses33%67%50%100%0%50%

Form: FC St. Pauli: DWWLLL • 1899 Hoffenheim: WLWLDL

League goals

Metric FC St. Pauli 1899 Hoffenheim
HATHAT
GF total628279
GF avg2.00.71.30.72.31.5
GA total6398412
GA avg2.01.01.52.71.32.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC St. Pauli1899 Hoffenheim
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%83%83%100%
1.550%50%33%50%
2.517%17%17%33%
3.50%0%17%17%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC St. Pauli1899 Hoffenheim
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score022101

Penalties

MetricFC St. Pauli1899 Hoffenheim
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricFC St. Pauli1899 Hoffenheim
Wins21
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-22-4
Biggest losses1-22-01-4
Goals For3214
Goals Against3242

Model comparison

MetricFC St. Pauli1899 Hoffenheim
Form60%40%
Att42%58%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h64%36%
Goals63%38%
Total54.7%45.5%

Advice: Double chance : FC St. Pauli or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.52 @ 1xBet
Draw3.65 @ 1xBet
Away2.90 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ Pinnacle
No2.30 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.07 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC St. Pauli = 1.69 (league 1.54), 1899 Hoffenheim = 2.96 (league 1.55)

1899 Hoffenheim
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC St. Pauli 0 1.0% 2.8% 4.2% 4.1% 3.1% 1.8%
1 1.6% 4.8% 7.1% 7.0% 5.2% 3.1%
2 1.4% 4.0% 6.0% 5.9% 4.4% 2.6%
3 0.8% 2.3% 3.4% 3.3% 2.5% 1.5%
4 0.3% 1.0% 1.4% 1.4% 1.0% 0.6%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.3% · Draw 16.3% · Away win 55.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1