Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 11:00 • Home Deluxe Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.57) 0.78 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.8% 29.6% 23.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.4%
0 - 0
13.2%
1 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Arminia Bielefeld
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Paderborn 07 0 13.2% 10.4% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.4% 12.9% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.1% 8.0% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.2% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSC Paderborn 07Arminia Bielefeld
Played55
Form87%27%
Attack41%35%
Defense94%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SC Paderborn 07 Arminia Bielefeld
HATHAT
Played448538
Wins75%50%63%40%33%38%
Draws0%50%25%0%33%13%
Loses25%0%13%60%33%50%

Form: SC Paderborn 07: WDLDWWWW • Arminia Bielefeld: WWLDWLLL

League goals

Metric SC Paderborn 07 Arminia Bielefeld
HATHAT
GF total651110414
GF avg1.51.31.42.01.31.8
GA total3258412
GA avg0.80.50.61.61.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSC Paderborn 07Arminia Bielefeld
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%50%100%75%
1.550%13%38%50%
2.50%0%13%25%
3.50%0%13%0%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSC Paderborn 07Arminia Bielefeld
HATHAT
Clean sheets224112
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricSC Paderborn 07Arminia Bielefeld
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSC Paderborn 07Arminia Bielefeld
Wins12
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-25-10-2
Biggest losses1-21-33-1
Goals For2252
Goals Against2133

Model comparison

MetricSC Paderborn 07Arminia Bielefeld
Form76%24%
Att54%46%
Def90%10%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h25%75%
Goals36%64%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Double chance : SC Paderborn 07 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.71 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.05 @ 188Bet
Away5.26 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ 1xBet
No2.36 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.69 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.31 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SC Paderborn 07 = 1.24 (league 1.57), Arminia Bielefeld = 0.78 (league 1.33)

Arminia Bielefeld
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Paderborn 07 0 13.2% 10.4% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.4% 12.9% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.1% 8.0% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.2% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.8% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 23.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1