Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 16:30 • Estadio de Mendizorroza
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.46) 1.70 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.4% 23.2% 41.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.2%
1 - 2
8.7%
2 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Sevilla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alaves 0 3.9% 6.7% 5.7% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
1 6.0% 10.2% 8.7% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.6% 7.9% 6.7% 3.8% 1.6% 0.6%
3 2.4% 4.0% 3.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.9% 1.6% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlavesSevilla
Played44
Form58%33%
Attack19%33%
Defense86%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 17 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.87 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alaves Sevilla
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%50%50%0%50%25%
Draws50%0%25%50%0%25%
Loses0%50%25%50%50%50%

Form: Alaves: WLDW • Sevilla: LLWD

League goals

Metric Alaves Sevilla
HATHAT
GF total314347
GF avg1.50.51.01.52.01.8
GA total213437
GA avg1.00.50.82.01.51.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlavesSevilla
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%100%75%
1.525%0%75%75%
2.50%0%0%25%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlavesSevilla
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricAlavesSevilla
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAlavesSevilla
Wins11
Draws10
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-10-2
Biggest losses1-01-23-2
Goals For2122
Goals Against1123

Model comparison

MetricAlavesSevilla
Form64%36%
Att36%64%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h71%29%
Goals56%44%
Total57.2%42.8%

Advice: Double chance : Alaves or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.54 @ 1xBet
Draw3.12 @ 1xBet
Away3.60 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Pinnacle
No1.72 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.72 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alaves = 1.54 (league 1.46), Sevilla = 1.70 (league 1.17)

Sevilla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alaves 0 3.9% 6.7% 5.7% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
1 6.0% 10.2% 8.7% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.6% 7.9% 6.7% 3.8% 1.6% 0.6%
3 2.4% 4.0% 3.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.9% 1.6% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.4% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 41.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1