Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 19:00 • Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.87 (league 1.46) 0.33 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
81.4% 8.9% 2.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
16.7%
3 - 0
16.0%
1 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Osasuna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Madrid 0 4.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.6% 3.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.7% 5.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.0% 5.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.5% 3.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.6% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico MadridOsasuna
Played55
Form73%47%
Attack92%46%
Defense54%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico Madrid Osasuna
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins75%0%38%75%0%38%
Draws25%75%50%25%0%13%
Loses0%25%13%0%100%50%

Form: Atletico Madrid: LDDWDWWD • Osasuna: LWLWLDLW

League goals

Metric Atletico Madrid Osasuna
HATHAT
GF total11415617
GF avg2.81.01.91.50.30.9
GA total5510268
GA avg1.31.31.30.51.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico MadridOsasuna
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%88%63%75%
1.538%38%25%25%
2.525%0%0%0%
3.513%0%0%0%
4.513%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico MadridOsasuna
HATHAT
Clean sheets101202
Failed to score000033

Penalties

MetricAtletico MadridOsasuna
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAtletico MadridOsasuna
Wins21
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-22-0
Biggest losses2-12-0
Goals For5121
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricAtletico MadridOsasuna
Form61%39%
Att67%33%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution91%9%
H2h60%40%
Goals54%46%
Total63.8%36.2%

Advice: Winner : Atletico Madrid

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.40 @ 1xBet
Draw5.30 @ 188Bet
Away9.58 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Pinnacle
No1.83 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico Madrid = 2.87 (league 1.46), Osasuna = 0.33 (league 1.17)

Osasuna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Madrid 0 4.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.6% 3.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.7% 5.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.0% 5.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.5% 3.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.6% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 81.4% · Draw 8.9% · Away win 2.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1