Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 19:00 • Estadio La Rosaleda
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.02 (league 1.49) 0.32 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.4% 17.0% 4.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
19.6%
1 - 0
19.5%
3 - 0
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Granada CF
0 1 2 3 4 5
Malaga 0 9.7% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.5% 6.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.6% 6.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.2% 4.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.6% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMalagaGranada CF
Played33
Form78%0%
Attack17%11%
Defense94%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 12 | 0.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.38 | 2.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Malaga Granada CF
HATHAT
Played213213
Wins50%100%67%0%0%0%
Draws50%0%33%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%100%100%100%

Form: Malaga: DWW • Granada CF: LLL

League goals

Metric Malaga Granada CF
HATHAT
GF total213202
GF avg1.01.01.01.00.00.7
GA total101538
GA avg0.50.00.32.53.02.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMalagaGranada CF
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%33%67%100%
1.50%0%0%100%
2.50%0%0%67%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMalagaGranada CF
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricMalagaGranada CF
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMalagaGranada CF
Wins00
Draws10
Losses03

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-1
Biggest losses1-33-0
Goals For1110
Goals Against1033

Model comparison

MetricMalagaGranada CF
Form100%0%
Att60%40%
Def89%11%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total62.3%37.8%

Advice: Double chance : Malaga or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ 188Bet
Draw3.30 @ Unibet
Away4.33 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.47 @ SBO
Under 2.51.62 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ Pinnacle
No1.78 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Malaga = 2.02 (league 1.49), Granada CF = 0.32 (league 1.09)

Granada CF
0 1 2 3 4 5
Malaga 0 9.7% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.5% 6.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.6% 6.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.2% 4.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.6% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.4% · Draw 17.0% · Away win 4.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1