Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 19:00 • Estadio de Gran Canaria
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.49) 1.19 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.5% 28.1% 37.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 1
11.6%
1 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Almeria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Las Palmas 0 9.7% 11.6% 6.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.0% 13.2% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.3% 7.5% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLas PalmasAlmeria
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack55%73%
Defense73%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Las Palmas Almeria
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%67%50%33%33%33%
Draws33%33%33%33%33%33%
Loses33%0%17%33%33%33%

Form: Las Palmas: DWLDWW • Almeria: DWDLLW

League goals

Metric Las Palmas Almeria
HATHAT
GF total3478412
GF avg1.01.31.22.71.32.0
GA total3148513
GA avg1.00.30.72.71.72.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLas PalmasAlmeria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%100%83%
1.533%0%67%67%
2.517%0%17%50%
3.50%0%17%17%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLas PalmasAlmeria
HATHAT
Clean sheets022011
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricLas PalmasAlmeria
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricLas PalmasAlmeria
Wins11
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-32-10-1
Biggest losses0-12-33-1
Goals For2342
Goals Against1143

Model comparison

MetricLas PalmasAlmeria
Form59%41%
Att43%57%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total54.8%45.2%

Advice: Double chance : Las Palmas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.22 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.52 @ Marathonbet
Away3.45 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.87 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Betfair
No2.11 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Las Palmas = 1.14 (league 1.49), Almeria = 1.19 (league 1.09)

Almeria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Las Palmas 0 9.7% 11.6% 6.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.0% 13.2% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.3% 7.5% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.5% · Draw 28.1% · Away win 37.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1