Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 16:30 • Estadio El Sardinero
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.49) 1.29 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.9% 24.0% 29.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
2 - 1
9.3%
1 - 0
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Malaga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Racing Santander 0 5.2% 6.6% 4.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
1 8.7% 11.1% 7.2% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.3% 9.3% 6.0% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.1% 5.2% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.7% 2.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRacing SantanderMalaga
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack75%25%
Defense31%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Racing Santander Malaga
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins50%67%57%25%33%29%
Draws0%33%14%50%0%29%
Loses50%0%29%25%67%43%

Form: Racing Santander: WWWWLDL • Malaga: DWWDLLL

League goals

Metric Racing Santander Malaga
HATHAT
GF total10818426
GF avg2.52.72.61.00.70.9
GA total8614437
GA avg2.02.02.01.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRacing SantanderMalaga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%71%71%
1.586%71%14%29%
2.557%14%0%0%
3.514%14%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRacing SantanderMalaga
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricRacing SantanderMalaga
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricRacing SantanderMalaga
Wins42
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-31-00-1
Biggest losses2-40-12-1
Goals For4321
Goals Against4222

Model comparison

MetricRacing SantanderMalaga
Form64%36%
Att75%25%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total58.2%41.8%

Advice: Winner : Racing Santander

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.92 @ Superbet
Draw3.78 @ Pinnacle
Away4.17 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.04 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ Unibet
No2.14 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Racing Santander = 1.68 (league 1.49), Malaga = 1.29 (league 1.09)

Malaga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Racing Santander 0 5.2% 6.6% 4.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
1 8.7% 11.1% 7.2% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.3% 9.3% 6.0% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.1% 5.2% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.7% 2.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.9% · Draw 24.0% · Away win 29.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1