Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 16:30 • Estadio Municipal de El Plantío
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.49) 0.51 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.2% 28.4% 14.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.0%
0 - 0
15.6%
2 - 0
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
Valladolid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burgos 0 15.6% 8.0% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.0% 10.7% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.1% 7.2% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.3% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurgosValladolid
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack78%56%
Defense33%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burgos Valladolid
HATHAT
Played448538
Wins50%25%38%40%33%38%
Draws50%25%38%40%33%38%
Loses0%50%25%20%33%25%

Form: Burgos: WDLDWDWL • Valladolid: WWDDWLLD

League goals

Metric Burgos Valladolid
HATHAT
GF total8513729
GF avg2.01.31.61.40.71.1
GA total369336
GA avg0.81.51.10.61.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurgosValladolid
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%63%63%
1.538%38%25%13%
2.525%0%25%0%
3.513%0%0%0%
4.513%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurgosValladolid
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score112213

Penalties

MetricBurgosValladolid
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricBurgosValladolid
Wins12
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-12-33-00-1
Biggest losses2-10-12-0
Goals For5331
Goals Against1212

Model comparison

MetricBurgosValladolid
Form62%38%
Att58%42%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total56.2%43.8%

Advice: Double chance : Burgos or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.84 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away2.90 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.72 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.52 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.74 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Burgos = 1.34 (league 1.49), Valladolid = 0.51 (league 1.10)

Valladolid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burgos 0 15.6% 8.0% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.0% 10.7% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.1% 7.2% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.3% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.2% · Draw 28.4% · Away win 14.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1