Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 01:30 • Estadio Deportivo Cali
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.10) 1.01 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.7% 33.9% 43.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.4%
0 - 0
19.3%
1 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Independiente Medellin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Cali 0 19.3% 19.4% 9.8% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.3% 12.4% 6.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 3.9% 4.0% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportivo CaliIndependiente Medellin
Played55
Form53%100%
Attack75%75%
Defense25%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportivo Cali Independiente Medellin
HATHAT
Played141428181836
Wins36%14%25%50%44%47%
Draws43%50%46%33%33%33%
Loses21%36%29%17%22%19%

Form: Deportivo Cali: DWLDWWDDDDDWDLWLDLLLLDDWLDWD • Independiente Medellin: DWWDWWWDDDDLWWDDLLWLDWWWWDDLDLLWWWWW

League goals

Metric Deportivo Cali Independiente Medellin
HATHAT
GF total141024261642
GF avg1.00.70.91.40.91.2
GA total131629131326
GA avg0.91.11.00.70.70.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportivo CaliIndependiente Medellin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.546%64%72%53%
1.521%32%31%14%
2.518%7%14%3%
3.50%0%0%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportivo CaliIndependiente Medellin
HATHAT
Clean sheets55109817
Failed to score69153710

Penalties

MetricDeportivo CaliIndependiente Medellin
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total55

Streaks

MetricDeportivo CaliIndependiente Medellin
Wins24
Draws54
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-33-01-3
Biggest losses0-32-03-42-0
Goals For3333
Goals Against3342

Model comparison

MetricDeportivo CaliIndependiente Medellin
Form35%65%
Att50%50%
Def18%82%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h38%62%
Goals40%60%
Total36.7%63.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Independiente Medellin

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.94 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Unibet
Away2.31 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.53 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Betfair
No1.70 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Deportivo Cali = 0.64 (league 1.10), Independiente Medellin = 1.01 (league 0.81)

Independiente Medellin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Cali 0 19.3% 19.4% 9.8% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.3% 12.4% 6.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 3.9% 4.0% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.7% · Draw 33.9% · Away win 43.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1