Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 01:10 • Estadio Palogrande
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.03 (league 1.10) 0.95 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.6% 20.8% 16.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.5%
1 - 0
10.3%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo Pereira
0 1 2 3 4 5
Once Caldas 0 5.1% 4.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 10.3% 9.8% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.1% 6.7% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.6% 3.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOnce CaldasDeportivo Pereira
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack50%63%
Defense38%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Once Caldas Deportivo Pereira
HATHAT
Played171734151429
Wins41%24%32%60%7%34%
Draws24%29%26%33%36%34%
Loses35%47%41%7%57%31%

Form: Once Caldas: LWWLWWLLLDWWDWLWWDLWDLDDLLLLDLDDLW • Deportivo Pereira: LDLDLWLWWDLDDWWDDWLWDLWLWDWDL

League goals

Metric Once Caldas Deportivo Pereira
HATHAT
GF total241236211031
GF avg1.40.71.11.40.71.1
GA total19224182230
GA avg1.11.31.20.51.61.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOnce CaldasDeportivo Pereira
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%71%66%62%
1.529%41%34%31%
2.59%6%7%10%
3.50%3%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOnce CaldasDeportivo Pereira
HATHAT
Clean sheets55108311
Failed to score38113710

Penalties

MetricOnce CaldasDeportivo Pereira
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricOnce CaldasDeportivo Pereira
Wins22
Draws22
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-23-00-1
Biggest losses1-34-00-13-0
Goals For3233
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricOnce CaldasDeportivo Pereira
Form38%62%
Att44%56%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h50%50%
Goals54%46%
Total49.5%50.5%

Advice: Double chance : Once Caldas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.31 @ 188Bet
Draw3.20 @ Unibet
Away3.74 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.60 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ 188Bet
No1.79 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Once Caldas = 2.03 (league 1.10), Deportivo Pereira = 0.95 (league 0.81)

Deportivo Pereira
0 1 2 3 4 5
Once Caldas 0 5.1% 4.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 10.3% 9.8% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.1% 6.7% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.6% 3.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.6% · Draw 20.8% · Away win 16.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1