Primera A — Colombia
Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 21:10 • Estadio Bello Horizonte - Rey Pelé
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.10) 1.71 (league 0.82)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.0% 23.9% 51.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
0 - 1
10.4%
1 - 2
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Deportes Tolima
0 1 2 3 4 5
Llaneros 0 6.1% 10.4% 8.9% 5.1% 2.2% 0.7%
1 6.6% 11.3% 9.7% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8%
2 3.6% 6.2% 5.3% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4%
3 1.3% 2.2% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLlanerosDeportes Tolima
Played55
Form40%73%
Attack86%86%
Defense0%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Llaneros Deportes Tolima
HATHAT
Played141529181735
Wins43%27%34%56%41%49%
Draws14%13%14%28%29%29%
Loses43%60%52%17%29%23%

Form: Llaneros: LWDDLLWLLLLWWLLLWLLWDDWWWLLWL • Deportes Tolima: WDWDDLWDLWWWDLWDWWWLDLDWLWLLWWDWWWD

League goals

Metric Llaneros Deportes Tolima
HATHAT
GF total141529252449
GF avg1.01.01.01.41.41.4
GA total142337132033
GA avg1.01.51.30.71.20.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLlanerosDeportes Tolima
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%79%80%60%
1.538%28%37%20%
2.57%14%20%11%
3.50%7%3%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLlanerosDeportes Tolima
HATHAT
Clean sheets3368614
Failed to score6713437

Penalties

MetricLlanerosDeportes Tolima
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricLlanerosDeportes Tolima
Wins33
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-33-11-4
Biggest losses1-34-01-33-1
Goals For2334
Goals Against3434

Model comparison

MetricLlanerosDeportes Tolima
Form35%65%
Att50%50%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h0%100%
Goals20%80%
Total32.6%67.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Deportes Tolima

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.78 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.31 @ Pinnacle
Away2.28 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.54 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Bwin
No1.67 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Llaneros = 1.09 (league 1.10), Deportes Tolima = 1.71 (league 0.82)

Deportes Tolima
0 1 2 3 4 5
Llaneros 0 6.1% 10.4% 8.9% 5.1% 2.2% 0.7%
1 6.6% 11.3% 9.7% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8%
2 3.6% 6.2% 5.3% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4%
3 1.3% 2.2% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.0% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 51.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1