Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 15:00 • Ta'Qali National Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.63 (league 1.14) 0.41 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.5% 11.5% 3.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
16.5%
3 - 0
14.5%
1 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Gzira United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hamrun Spartans 0 4.8% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.6% 5.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.5% 6.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.5% 6.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.5% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHamrun SpartansGzira United
Played44
Form67%17%
Attack31%25%
Defense88%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.34 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.58 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hamrun Spartans Gzira United
HATHAT
Played224044
Wins50%50%50%0%0%
Draws50%50%50%50%50%
Loses0%0%0%50%50%

Form: Hamrun Spartans: DDWW • Gzira United: LDDL

League goals

Metric Hamrun Spartans Gzira United
HATHAT
GF total325044
GF avg1.51.01.30.01.01.0
GA total112088
GA avg0.50.50.50.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHamrun SpartansGzira United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%50%75%
1.525%0%25%50%
2.50%0%25%25%
3.50%0%0%25%
4.50%0%0%25%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHamrun SpartansGzira United
HATHAT
Clean sheets112011
Failed to score000022

Penalties

MetricHamrun SpartansGzira United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricHamrun SpartansGzira United
Wins00
Draws22
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-1
Biggest losses5-3
Goals For2103
Goals Against1105

Model comparison

MetricHamrun SpartansGzira United
Form80%20%
Att56%44%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h80%20%
Goals67%33%
Total74.7%25.3%

Advice: Double chance : Hamrun Spartans or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ William Hill
Draw3.69 @ Pinnacle
Away4.64 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No1.86 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.99 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.77 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hamrun Spartans = 2.63 (league 1.14), Gzira United = 0.41 (league 1.21)

Gzira United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hamrun Spartans 0 4.8% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.6% 5.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.5% 6.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.5% 6.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.5% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.5% · Draw 11.5% · Away win 3.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1